Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.020319 0.026019 0.033795 0.045629 0.064095 0.093650 0.149243
2024-12-15 0.013897 0.019653 0.028803 0.045792 0.080620 0.162541 0.449730
2024-12-22 0.011040 0.016603 0.026369 0.047240 0.100454 0.282047 1.810324
2024-12-29 0.009194 0.014427 0.024288 0.047736 0.119536 0.476363 15.379115
2025-01-05 0.007664 0.012345 0.021568 0.045095 0.127172 0.687767 3637.980117
2025-01-12 0.006653 0.010970 0.019822 0.043933 0.139707 1.091871 NaN
2025-01-19 0.006157 0.010456 0.019740 0.047361 0.179851 2.854748 NaN
2025-01-26 0.005866 0.010281 0.020363 0.053515 0.255299 18.048383 NaN
2025-02-02 0.005601 0.010096 0.020903 0.060035 0.368763 71701.932334 NaN
2025-02-09 0.005158 0.009443 0.020045 0.060640 0.439161 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.004788 0.008890 0.019314 0.061414 0.528256 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.004434 0.008323 0.018406 0.060875 0.606468 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.004003 0.007576 0.016985 0.057921 0.652066 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.003686 0.007060 0.016153 0.057713 0.794457 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.003456 0.006717 0.015754 0.059686 1.090829 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003232 0.006353 0.015194 0.060372 1.432261 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.002966 0.005849 0.014072 0.056727 1.466598 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.002764 0.005482 0.013326 0.055132 1.677473 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002673 0.005387 0.013465 0.059852 3.074727 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002628 0.005401 0.013990 0.068439 9.169712 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002578 0.005395 0.014450 0.077689 51.137065 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002455 0.005174 0.014046 0.078555 166.977458 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002345 0.004976 0.013690 0.079663 1670.692238 NaN NaN